Marin County Real Estate Market Report
June 2025
A Notable Surge in Activity as Summer Approaches
May brought a notable uptick in market activity across Marin County, with key indicators pointing to rising buyer interest despite ongoing macroeconomic headwinds. The most striking shift this month? A sharp drop in average days on market, down to just 26 days — a 23.5% decrease from April and the lowest reading in over a year. This signals a growing urgency among buyers, especially in desirable price bands and locations.
The median sold price rose to $1.7 million, a 13.3% gain over April and a 6.4% increase year-over-year. While the number of homes sold remained relatively flat compared to last year, the number of new listings surged to a 13-month peak, pushing active inventory to 639 homes — a 32.8% increase year-over-year. This brings us to 2.7 months of inventory, up from 2.5 in April, but still reflective of a market that slightly favors sellers.
Pricing Trends: Strength Returns
Buyers are stepping back into the market with renewed confidence, evidenced by a rise in average price per square foot to $951, a level we haven’t seen since last summer. While some of this can be attributed to a greater share of luxury and turnkey listings, it also reflects genuine price strength across the county.
And importantly, sellers are holding firm: homes are still selling for an average of 101% of original list price, matching April and just slightly below last year’s 102%. In other words, pricing remains competitive — but not irrational.
Broader Context: Interest Rates and the Tech Sector
Interest rates remain elevated, with 30-year fixed mortgages hovering just under 7%, a level that continues to temper some demand. That said, savvy buyers are adjusting expectations, with many choosing to “marry the house, date the rate,” knowing they can refinance when the Fed pivots — possibly in late 2025 or early 2026.
Here in Marin, the tech sector still casts a long shadow. Recent signs of tech hiring stabilization in the Bay Area, especially among mid-sized firms and AI startups, have begun to ripple outward. Anecdotally, we’re seeing more buyer activity from households with ties to tech — a group that often drives Marin’s higher price points and quick sales, especially during bonus and IPO cycles. If this momentum continues through the summer, we may see a sustained lift in both volume and price strength.
Featured Property: 11 Crest Road, Belvedere
One of Marin’s most architecturally significant listings launched this past month: 11 Crest Road in Belvedere, designed by renowned architect Joseph Esherick. With sweeping views, iconic Mid-Century Modern lines, and abundant privacy, the home represents a rare opportunity to own a piece of architectural history in one of Belvedere’s most coveted enclaves. Early interest has been strong, particularly among design-focused buyers seeking pedigree, views, and tranquility.
Looking Ahead
June typically marks the beginning of the summer slowdown as people leave for vacations but this year we are still seeing a lot of activity. With inventory building, this could be an excellent window for both buyers and sellers. Sellers are encouraged to list now while competition is still relatively limited. Buyers, meanwhile, should be prepared to act quickly on well-priced homes — especially those in prime neighborhoods.
Coming Soon
Coming in later June is a one-of-a-kind property in Lucas Valley which is reminiscent of a home in the Hamptons. Completely renovated on 4.2 acres, this gorgeous home has 6 bedrooms all with their own bath, almost 7,000 sq ft of living space, a pool, sprawling lawn and a gorgeous pond that could be in a Monet painting.
I also have a completely remodeled charming 3 BR/1 BA bungalow in the Strawberry area of Mill Valley. This home is the definition of curb appeal and is an easy walk from the Strawberry Village shopping center. Call or text me for more details.
How Can I Help?
Marin County continues to showcase its resilience and desirability, even amidst shifting market dynamics. Whether you’re buying, selling, or just staying informed, my expertise ensures you’re equipped to navigate Marin’s unique real estate landscape. Let me help pave the road to success for you!
These market reports are a great place to start, but let’s continue the conversation. I am always happy to discuss the market and the best way to approach buying or selling a home in Marin County or the greater Bay Area.
If you have any questions about the market or are considering your next real estate move, please don’t hesitate to reach out. Together, let’s make your real estate goals a reality. Call or text me anytime at 415-847-5584. As always, I’m here to help you navigate the market with confidence.
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From the Golden Gate Sotheby’s Bay Area Market Report…
INVENTORY UP WHILE SALES VOLUME AND PRICES DIP
The regional housing market produced mixed results in May. Pricing and sales volume slowed as the volatile economic climate took a toll on activity. Even as the total number of homes for sale increased, inventory dropped in some neighborhoods as buyers focused on prime locations. With average mortgage rates once again approaching 7%, the rising cost of homeownership sidelined some potential buyers, particularly the most price-sensitive households.
While the equity markets have recovered most of the drop in value from earlier in the year, heightened volatility continued to constrain home purchase activity, including cash sales. The SF Bay Area economy remained somewhat stable, with the unemployment rate still in the low-4% range and moderate wage growth across most industries.
HOME SALES NOT FAR FROM RECENT PEAK
Home sales slowed modestly from a year ago, with more than 3,800 single family homes sold in May. Despite the dip in activity, May closed with just slightly fewer sales than the recent peak last year. As is often the case, the pace of sales varied throughout the region. While sales decreased in much of the inner SF Bay Area, more homes sold in May than one year ago in Marin, Napa, San Mateo, Santa Cruz and Solano counties.
By price range, the sharpest drop in activity was in the $1.25 million to $3 million range. Closed sales dropped by roughly 15% from the last year. At the upper end of the pricing spectrum, the number of homes sold for more than $5 million increased, the fifth-consecutive monthly growth in the pace of sales. Activity in Contra Costa County and San Francisco drove much of this increase.
SLOWING SALES BOOST INVENTORY
One outcome of slowing sales was an increase in available inventory. By the end of May, roughly 8,800 homes were available throughout the region, an increase of nearly 40% in the last year. For-sale inventory increased in all counties, most notably in Contra Costa, Napa, and Santa Cruz counties. However, San Francisco remained the outlier. For-sale inventory has changed little in the last year, an indicator of the underlying demand for homes and buyers refocusing on centrally located neighborhoods.
SELLER’S MARKET PERSISTS
While it is true that SF Bay Area inventory reached the highest level since the Covid pandemic began, most neighborhoods do not have excess supply. The increase in for-sale listings, though large, pales in comparison to some other major metropolitan areas where inventory doubled or tripled in the last 12 months. In these markets, homes often sit for months before selling and buyers hold significant leverage. Locally, that is not the case as demand for homes still outweighs supply over the longer run.
As mortgage rates crept higher and sales velocity slowed, buyer competition moderated. In May, more than half of sold homes closed above the asking price compared with roughly two-thirds a year ago. The SF Bay Area is one of the few regions in the country where the majority of sales close higher than the list price. The average premium sellers received if the home closed above the list price was approximately 11%. In San Francisco and Solano counties, the share of homes sold at a premium was nearly on par with a year ago. In both counties, the average time on market decreased. In much of the surrounding area, the average time a home spent on the market increased from last year. The average days on market crept up slightly but remained less than a month for the SF Bay Area on average. In the inner SF Bay Area, homes typically sold in less than three weeks. Though the pace of sales slowed, buyer competition persisted for homes in prime neighborhoods.
LOOKING AHEAD
The spring buying season was constrained somewhat by rising mortgage rates and economic and investment volatility. Though pricing pressure is an issue for most potential buyers, the underlying demand for single family homes in the SF Bay Area remained strong. Macroeconomic factors and geopolitical issues impacting the flow of international capital into the SF Bay Area may continue to curtail some sales activity in the near term. Despite this, the outlook for the regional housing market remains positive and homebuying demand should be resilient.
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Marin Real Estate Market Stats
Marin County Real Estate Market Report Charts
(click any slide to enlarge & launch slideshow)
“For Sale” vs. Sold Home Prices vs. Median Home Prices
Marin Home Prices List Price vs. Sold
Marin County Months of Inventory Based on Closed Sales
Average Price Per Square Foot
Marin County Number of Homes on the Market
I hope you have found my Marin County Real Estate Market Report informative. Please feel free to add your comments, questions or suggestions in the comments section below. If I may be of any assistance in helping you attain your real estate goals, please call or text me at 415-847-5584 and I will be in touch right away.
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Belvedere Real Estate Market Report
Corte Madera Real Estate Market Report
Fairfax Real Estate Market Report
Kentfield Real Estate Market Report
Larkspur Real Estate Market Report
Mill Valley Real Estate Market Report
Novato Real Estate Market Report
San Anselmo Real Estate Market Report
San Rafael Real Estate Market Report
Tiburon Real Estate Market Report
These are all accessible from the “Market Reports” menu item here on my website at any time.
About the Author
Thomas Henthorne is consistently top-ranked, award-winning real estate agent in Marin, helping people buy and sell homes for almost a decade. He writes the #1 real estate blog in Marin County and is a frequent speaker on panels at industry gatherings.
He may be reached at 415-847-5584.
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