Marin County Real Estate Market Report
December 2023

Marin Real Estate Market report December 2023 chart

Marin Real Estate Market Report

December 2023

We end 2023 with good news – we saw some healthy numbers last month as the median sold price reversed its year-long downward march.The median sold price was up 4% last month to $1.47 million while the days on market declined 5% to 36 days versus the same month last year. There were about 6% fewer homes on the market than in November of 2022, pointing to continued inventory availability at the local and national level.

One point does NOT define a trend, but I am hearing from colleagues that it feels like buyers and sellers are becoming accustomed to interest rates that are higher than the past few years but much more in line with where they have been historically. Life happens and people can only postpone important moves for so long. While there is some talk of interest rates being cut next year, I would not hang my hat on that. Interest rates are cut during tough economic times, and there is no indication we are headed for that in 2024.

Others expect that interest rates will settle in the 6.5% range, which is still down 1.5 points from the heights of 2023. 

I am a Marin County real estate agent, not an economist, so I won’t make any predictions but I end this year optimistic for 2024.

I would like to wish all of you the happiest of holiday seasons!

How Can I Help?

While the market is shifting, there are many opportunities out there for smart buyers and sellers. Let me help pave the road to success for you!

These market reports are a great place to start, but let’s continue the conversation. I am always happy to discuss the market and the best way to approach buying or selling a home in Marin County or the greater Bay Area. Call or text me anytime at 415-847-5584.

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From the Golden Gate Sotheby’s Bay Area Market Report…

Graph SF bay area home prices 2019-2023


As we approach the end of the year, the housingmarket remained on course. Home values remained resilient despite media headlines to the contrary. The combination of higher mortgage rates and limited inventory continued to constrain sales, and seasonal trends contributed to a slowdown in recent months. Yet, demand forhousing throughout the SF Bay Area persists.

The regional unemployment rate ticked higher,reaching 3.8%, underscoring a relatively stronglabor market heading into the holiday hiringseason. Income gains will continue to improveaffordability for many households, a positivefactor for the housing market.


The number of closed sales in November decreased to roughly 2,700 homes, a drop of 17% from the prior month. While a large drop, the slowdown in activity was expected. Though interest rates fell in recent months, some buyers are still acclimating to the new rate environment and the higher monthly costs driven by mortgage rates in the 7% range has deterred some sales. Potential buyers continued to face a shortage ofhomes for sale in many prime neighborhoods, which also constrained sales. Finally, seasonal patterns where activity slows towards the end of a year typically causes a 5% to 10% drop in November sales.
Graph homes selling over and under list in the SF bay area


The number of homes listed for sale decreased for the first time since February. In November, listings fell to approximately 4,500 homes, nearly 20% lower than October. Higher mortgage rates and few trade-up options continued to deter some homes from coming to market. Additionally, fewer job options and reduced affordability in other cities has curtailed some out-migration from the SF Bay Area.


As 2023 comes to a close, the housing market should continue on its current trajectory. Seasonal patterns typically dictate a slower December and January before purchase activity begins to rebound. Into early next year, pent-up demand should help sales volume recover as well as support pricing. The recent decrease in mortgage rates should also bring some potential buyers off of the sidelines in the coming months. Overall, while a slower end to the year is expected, prospects for a stronger housing market in 2024 are bright.

Please click here to read the full report.

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Marin Real Estate Market Stats

Marin county home sales by town graph November 2023
Marin county real esate market trends graph November 2023

Marin County Real Estate Market Report Charts

(click any slide to enlarge & launch slideshow)

“For Sale” vs. Sold Home Prices vs. Median Home Prices

December 2023 marin home prices chart

Marin Home Prices List Price vs. Sold

December 2023 days on market home sales chart

Marin County Months of Inventory Based on Closed Sales

December 2023 months of inventory marin homes for sale chart

Average Price Per Square Foot

December 2023 average price per square foot marin homes real estate chart

Marin County Number of Homes on the Market

December 2023 Number of Marin county homes for sale chart

I hope you have found my Marin County Real Estate Market Report informative. Please feel free to add your comments, questions or suggestions in the comments section below. If I may be of any assistance in helping you attain your real estate goals, please call or text me at 415-847-5584 and I will be in touch right away.

Would you like to see this data for your town only?

I am also excited to announce that my website now has new real estate market reports by town with more coming soon. Please check these out:

Belvedere Real Estate Market Report

Corte Madera Real Estate Market Report

Fairfax Real Estate Market Report

Kentfield Real Estate Market Report

Larkspur Real Estate Market Report

Mill Valley Real Estate Market Report

Novato Real Estate Market Report

San Anselmo Real Estate Market Report

San Rafael Real Estate Market Report

Tiburon Real Estate Market Report

These are all accessible from the “Market Reports” menu item here on my website at any time.

Marin County Realtor Thomas Henthorne headshot

About the Author

Thomas Henthorne is consistently top-ranked, award-winning real estate agent in Marin, helping people buy and sell homes for almost a decade. He writes the #1 real estate blog in Marin County and is a frequent speaker on panels at industry gatherings.

He may be reached at 415-847-5584.

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