The September 2017 Marin County Real Estate Market Report

Just Sold by Thomas: 215 Locust Avenue in San Rafael (Represented Sellers)

Welcome to my Marin County Real Estate Market Report for September 2017! Before we get to the report, some of you have inquired about my family in Florida and Georgia. I am happy to report they are all safe and suffered minimal damage. My thoughts are with those who are still suffering the effects of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. This is also a good reminder for us Californians to check our own emergency preparedness with the winter storms right around the corner.

Summer is wrapping up and the fall real estate season has begun with many new homes coming to market compared to the last three months. The trend all year has been fewer homes (inventory) coming to market versus the same period last year so it will be interesting to see if that continues through the fall. In August 2017 we saw a whopping 39.4% fewer new listings than August of 2016! This is on the heels of a similar double-digit decline last month. Unsurprisingly, median pricing continued to increase, up 4% versus the same month last year.

One of the reasons I try to compare to the same month in prior years is because it strips seasonality out of the equation. When I read articles about sales being down in a summer month compared to a spring month, I scratch my head — of course they are, summer is slower than spring. What’s more relevant is how we are comparing to last year at the same time. If you read my reports each month, you’ll notice a consistent trend — fewer homes on the market, prices up about 3-5% versus last year.

Barring any significant economic event, it is likely the market will continue along the same lines – buyers competing for fewer homes on the market, pushing prices up. However, buyers in Marin County are sophisticated (meaning tech-savvy) and willing to wait for THE home that ticks most if not all the boxes. See below for what buyers are looking for in the market right now.

Speaking of homes on the market, I am launching two exciting listings this week. 134 Madrone in San Anselmo is priced at $1,299,000, a great value for a single-level newly re-built home in a neighborhood with exemplary schools and an easy walk to San Anselmo’s downtown.

Also launching this week is 40 Twain Harte in San Rafael, a mid-century masterpiece at the top of Bret Harte Heights. This stunning home evokes 1950s glamour — I call it Hollywood Hills in Marin — with walls of glass that look out to the bay to the east and Mt. Tamalpais to the west. I have already received several calls from people wanting to see it prior to the broker’s open this Thursday. 40 Twain Harte is offered at $2,600,000.

Later this month I will be attending the Sotheby’s International Realty Global Networking Event in Las Vegas to serve as a member of the social media experts panel as well as to learn best luxury home marketing practices from some of Sotheby’s top agents around the globe. The Sotheby’s International Realty brand continues to grow in strength and reach around the globe, and I am proud to be associated with it.

I hope you had a wonderful summer. The days are just beginning to feel a little like fall – the light is a little lower in the sky and the leaves on the California Buckeyes are starting to turn. As always, I am happy to discuss the Marin real estate market with you — just give me a call at 415-847-5584. Please scroll down to see this month’s Marin real estate market graphs.

145 Madrone Avenue San Anselmo California backyard with home beyond

Marin County Real Estate Market Report September 2017 Dashboards

Marin County Real Estate Dashboard:
Home Prices


For sale prices increased by 9.8% versus last month and increased by 25% vs. the same month in 2016.


Average sold prices decreased by 3% vs. last month and increased by 6.5% vs. the same month in 2016.


The median home price decreased by 3.2% vs. last month and increased 4% vs. the same month in 2016.


The average price per square foot sold decreased by 5.3% vs. last month and increased by 0.8% vs. the same month last year.

All information courtesy of and copyright by BAREIS MLS and TrendGraphix.
Dashboard compiled by Thomas Henthorne, all rights reserved.

Marin County Real Estate Dashboard:
Inventory


Number of homes for sale decreased by 10.4.% vs. last month and decreased 21.8% vs. the same month in 2016. New listings decreased 19% versus August 2016.


Number of homes sold decreased 15.6% vs. last month and decreased 1.0% vs. the same month in 2016.


Months of inventory increased 7.2% vs. last month and decreased 21.3% vs. the same month last year.


The average days on market increased by 17.1% vs. last month and decreased 4% vs. last year.

All information courtesy of and copyright by BAREIS MLS and TrendGraphix.
Dashboard compiled by Thomas Henthorne, all rights reserved.

National Real Estate Market Update

Courtesy of Wells Fargo:

Hurricanes May Further Constrain New Housing Supply

“Aside from disruptions related to the recent hurricanes, the housing market remains quite strong throughout most of the country. Homes are selling quickly and inventories of new and existing homes remain exceptionally low throughout most of the country, and in practically all of the markets that are seeing strong population and employment growth. One major shift that appears to be gaining momentum this year is the return of the affordability migration to suburban markets, which is reviving large tract development. The trend coincides with rising demand for homes from Millennials, which appear to be forming households in growing numbers. Apartment construction is also winding down, however, as a surge of apartment deliveries has pushed vacancy rates higher in some larger markets.

We now look for new home sales to rise 8.7 percent this year and look for single-family starts to rise 7.5 percent. Sales of existing homes are expected to rise 2.4 percent. Home prices should continue to rise swiftly. Damages from the hurricanes and the diversion of workers to repair damage from the storm will intensify shortages of homes available for sale, construction workers and building materials. We have slightly increased our expectations for home price appreciation for 2017 and 2018. Price gains are also being supported by lower interest rates, improving household finances and slightly easier credit underwriting.

Please click here to read the full report from Wells Fargo

What This Update Means For You

SELLERS: If you’re thinking of selling your home, don’t listen to your Uncle Fred at dinner who says it is a sellers market and buyers will pay anything. Buyers are well educated and the majority in Marin County are working with very experienced and savvy agents who know values. Keep an eye on some of the trends we are seeing — that while inventories remain tight, sellers are having a hard time pushing pricing higher than last year.  Bottom line: price your home for this market, not for the market in early 2016 or 2015.

BUYERS: For home buyers, the good news is that more balance is coming to the Marin real estate market even though inventories are tight. Look for homes that are well-priced and be prepared to move quickly. Chances are you are looking for the same things most other buyers are also seeking (see my list below.) Set up property alerts on my website so you can immediately see new homes on the market, and make sure you are pre-qualified so you present a compelling offer. (You may wish to read my article Buying a Home in Marin County for more tips and advice.) One other tip: Ask your agent to run aged inventory reports in and above your price range. Sometimes there are some real gems that the market has overlooked due to pricing or other factors.

What Are Buyers Looking For Right Now?

In speaking with buyers, they want it all right now, with the following at the top of their lists:

  • Great schools
  • Single-level
  • Easy commute
  • Walk to restaurants and shops
  • Views
  • Quiet streets
  • Remodeled homes in move-in condition

Smart buyers, which is almost all of them, realize they cannot have all of those attributes and buying a home in a market like Marin County is a series of tradeoffs. For example, they may choose to give up walking to restaurants to be in the hills with a view of the bay. In any event, we are seeing buyers that are more tech-savvy than ever and who have done their homework, reading market reports such as this one and spending a lot of time online looking at homes.

Marin Real Estate Market Report Charts

(click any slide to enlarge & launch slideshow)

“For Sale” vs. Sold Home Prices vs. Median Home Prices

Marin Real Estate Market Report September 2017 price chart

Marin Home Prices List Price vs. Sold

Average days on market chart

Marin County Months of Inventory Based on Closed Sales

months of inventory chart

Average Price Per Square Foot

price per square foot chart

Would you like to see this data for your town only?

I am also now rolling out market update charts for selected towns in Marin. Please click the below for local real estate market updates & charts:

Kentfield Real Estate Market Update

Mill Valley Real Estate Market Update

San Rafael Real Estate Market Update

Tiburon Real Estate Market Update

Just One More:

The Beautiful View from  36 Tampa Drive (Just Reduced!) :

View of Richmond San Rafael Bridge from deck

I hope you have found my Marin County Real Estate Market Report for August 2017 informative. Please feel free to add your comments, questions or suggestions in the comments section below. If I may be of any assistance in helping you attain your real estate goals, please call or text me at 415-847-5584 and I will be in touch right away.

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2 replies
  1. Judy LeMarr
    Judy LeMarr says:

    Excellent point — “One of the reasons I try to compare to the same month in prior years is because it strips seasonality out of the equation.” Absolutely beautiful homes featured. Truly an insightful, helpful breakdown of information. Love the mix of media and text.

    Reply

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